"Next French Presidential Election" 預測市場是什麼？

"Next French Presidential Election" 是今晚食雞上的一個預測市場，共有 128 個可能結果，交易者會根據自己認為將發生的情況買賣份額。當前領先的結果是 "Other"，價格為 100¢（隱含概率 100%）。下一接近的結果是 "Person F"，價格為 100¢（隱含概率 100%）。價格反映實時眾包概率。例如，價格為 100¢ 的份額意味著市場整體認為該結果發生的概率為 100%。隨著交易者對新進展和信息作出反應，這些賠率會持續變化。市場結算後，正確結果的份額每份可兌付 $1。

"Next French Presidential Election" 在今晚食雞上產生了多少交易活動？

截至今天，"Next French Presidential Election" 已產生 $90.5 million 的總交易量，自市場於 Nov 12, 2025 上線以來。這種交易活躍度反映了今晚食雞社區的強參與度，並有助於確保當前賠率由更深的市場參與者池支持。你可以在此頁面直接跟蹤實時價格變化，並交易任何結果。

如何交易 "Next French Presidential Election"？

要交易 "Next French Presidential Election"，請瀏覽此頁面列出的 128 個可用結果。每個結果都會顯示代表市場隱含概率的當前價格。要建倉，請選擇你認為最可能發生的結果，選擇“是”表示看好該結果，或選擇“否”表示看空該結果，輸入金額並點擊“交易”。如果你選擇的結果在市場結算時正確，你的“是”份額每份兌付 $1。如果不正確，則兌付 $0。你也可以在結算前隨時賣出份額，以鎖定利潤或止損。

"Next French Presidential Election" 當前賠率是多少？

"Next French Presidential Election" 當前的領先結果是 "Other"，價格為 100¢（隱含概率 100%），這意味著市場給該結果分配了 100% 的概率。下一接近的結果是 "Person F"，價格為 100¢（隱含概率 100%）。這些賠率會隨著交易者買賣份額而實時更新，因此反映了最新的集體判斷，即市場認為最可能發生的結果。請經常查看或收藏此頁面，以跟蹤新信息出現時賠率如何變化。

"Next French Presidential Election" 將如何結算？

"Next French Presidential Election" 的結算規則明確規定了每個結果被判定為獲勝所需發生的事項，包括用於確定結果的官方數據來源。你可以在此頁面評論上方的“規則”部分查看完整結算標準。我們建議在交易前仔細閱讀規則，因為規則會說明該市場如何結算所依據的精確條件、邊界情況和來源。

我可以不交易而關注 "Next French Presidential Election" 嗎？

可以。你無需交易也能保持瞭解。此頁面可作為 "Next French Presidential Election" 的實時追蹤器。隨著新交易進入，結果概率會實時更新。你可以收藏此頁面，並查看評論區瞭解其他交易者的看法。你還可以使用圖表上的時間範圍篩選器，查看賠率隨時間如何變化。這是一個免費的實時窗口，可瞭解市場預期會發生什麼。

為什麼今晚食雞關於 "Next French Presidential Election" 的賠率被認為可靠？

今晚食雞賠率由真實交易者用真實資金表達信念而形成，這往往能呈現較準確的預測。"Next French Presidential Election" 已有 $90.5 million 的交易量，這些價格匯聚了數千名參與者的集體知識和信念，通常優於民調、專家預測和傳統調查。隨著事件接近解決並有更多交易者參與，像今晚食雞這樣的預測市場往往會變得更具信息價值。

如何開始交易 "Next French Presidential Election"？

要在 "Next French Presidential Election" 上進行第一筆交易，請註冊一個免費的今晚食雞賬戶，並使用加密貨幣、信用卡或借記卡，或銀行轉賬為賬戶充值。賬戶充值後，返回此頁面，選擇你想交易的結果，輸入金額並點擊“交易”。如果你是預測市場新手，請點擊任何今晚食雞頁面頂部的“運作方式”鏈接，查看交易流程的快速分步說明。

"Other" 的價格為 100¢ 意味著什麼？

在今晚食雞上，每個結果的價格代表市場的隱含概率。在 "Next French Presidential Election" 市場中，"Other" 的價格為 100¢，意味著交易者整體認為 "Other" 成為正確結果的概率約為 100%。如果你以 100¢ 買入“是”份額且該結果正確，你將每份收到 $1.00，即每份獲利 0¢。如果不正確，這些份額價值為 $0。

"Next French Presidential Election" 市場什麼時候關閉？

"Next French Presidential Election" 市場預計將在 Apr 30, 2027 左右結算。這意味著交易將保持開放，賠率也會隨著新信息出現持續變化，直到該日期。具體結算時間取決於官方結果何時可用，詳情見此頁面“規則”部分。

交易者對 "Next French Presidential Election" 有什麼看法？

"Next French Presidential Election" 市場最近剛創建。你可以成為首批發布分析的人之一，在下方發表評論；也可以隨著市場成長後回來查看其他交易者的看法。你還可以查看“活動”標籤頁，獲取近期交易的實時動態。

今晚食雞是什麼？

今晚食雞是一個預測市場平臺，你可以在這裡瞭解並交易現實世界事件。交易者可以買賣政治、體育、加密貨幣、金融、科技和文化等領域結果的份額，包括像 "Next French Presidential Election" 這樣的市場。價格反映由真實資金支持的實時眾包概率，讓你透明地瞭解參與者預期會發生什麼。

ElectionsGlobal Elections

Next French Presidential Election

Name: Next French Presidential Election
Start: 2025-11-12T20:05:10.865928Z
End: 2027-04-30T00:00:00Z

Nov 12, 3:05 PM-8:00PMEDT

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Will Person BA win the 2027 French presidential election?

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Will Person BC win the 2027 French presidential election?

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Will Person BE win the 2027 French presidential election?

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Will Person BG win the 2027 French presidential election?

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Will Person BI win the 2027 French presidential election?

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Will Person BM win the 2027 French presidential election?

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Will Person BO win the 2027 French presidential election?

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Will Person BO win the 2027 French presidential election?

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Will Person BQ win the 2027 French presidential election?

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Will Person CQ win the 2027 French presidential election?

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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).